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Astrio vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 11:00

Astrio

PPG 0.57 · HOME

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Torslanda

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-113.1%0-210.6%0-35.7%0-4+3.3%1 1-07.2%1-111.7%1-29.5%1-35.1%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.2%2-15.2%2-24.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.6% 23.8% 4.20 +2.0%

Draw 24.9% 24.4% 4.10 +1.3%

Away win 50.5% 61.7% 1.62 -18.2%

Over 2.5 50.3% 69.4% 1.44 -27.6%

Over 3.5 29.4% 47.6% 2.10 -23.0%

BTTS 53.1% 69.0% 1.45 -23.0%

Home O1.5 32.1% 39.2% 2.55 -18.1%

Away O1.5 48.2% 69.0% 1.45 -30.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob53.1%

A 50% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–2 10.6%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 1–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Astrio0.9

Torslanda1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ASTRIO · PPG 0.57

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.14

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.73 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Astrio (H) 24.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +2.0%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +1.3%

Torslanda (A) 50.5%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -18.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Astrio face Torslanda in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Astrio a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Torslanda 51%, so Torslanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Astrio and 1.6 for Torslanda (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Astrio are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.14 for Torslanda. This match finished 0-6.

Astrio vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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