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Landvetter IS vs Galtabacks Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 17:00

Landvetter IS

PPG 2.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Galtabacks

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-14.6%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.4%1-19.1%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.4%2-19.1%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.6%3-16.0%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-14.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.6% 66.7% 1.50 -4.6%

Draw 21.5% 25.0% 4.00 -8.4%

Away win 14.9% 21.7% 4.60 -18.9%

Over 2.5 53.7% 74.1% 1.35 -27.5%

Over 3.5 32.7% 52.9% 1.89 -38.2%

BTTS 51.8% 71.4% 1.40 -27.5%

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob51.8%

H 64% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.4%

#2 1–0 14.4%

#3 1–1 9.1%

#4 3–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landvetter IS2.0

Galtabacks0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDVETTER IS · PPG 2.62

GALTABACKS · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Landvetter IS (H) 63.6%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -4.6%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.4%

Galtabacks (A) 14.9%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -18.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landvetter IS face Galtabacks in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landvetter IS a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Galtabacks 15%, so Landvetter IS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Landvetter IS and 0.6 for Galtabacks (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landvetter IS are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 0.38 for Galtabacks.

Landvetter IS vs Galtabacks Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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