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Angelholms FF vs Trollhättan Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Angelholms FF

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Trollhättan

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.5%0-24.1%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.8%1-111.1%1-26.9%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.5%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.3%3-15.4%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.4%4+-22.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% 52.4% 1.91 -6.0%

Draw 23.8% 26.7% 3.75 -6.5%

Away win 27.0% 31.3% 3.20 -8.2%

Over 2.5 59.5% 67.6% 1.48 -11.9%

Over 3.5 36.5% 45.5% 2.20 -19.7%

BTTS 61.0% 70.4% 1.42 -13.4%

Home O1.5 49.2% 60.6% 1.65 -18.8%

Away O1.5 36.6% 45.5% 2.20 -19.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -8.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.0%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Angelholms FF1.7

Trollhättan1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ANGELHOLMS FF · PPG 1.00

TROLLHÄTTAN · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Angelholms FF (H) 49.2%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -6.0%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.5%

Trollhättan (A) 27.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Angelholms FF face Trollhättan in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Angelholms FF a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Trollhättan 27%, so Angelholms FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Angelholms FF and 1.3 for Trollhättan (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Angelholms FF are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.57 for Trollhättan.

Angelholms FF vs Trollhättan Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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