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Veszprém vs MTE 1904 Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 09:00

Veszprém

PPG 1.61 · HOME

UPCOMING

MTE 1904

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-110.4%0-28.3%0-34.3%0-4+2.4%1 1-07.5%1-111.9%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.3%2-16.7%2-25.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.6%3-12.6%3-22.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 44.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.5%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–1 10.4%

#4 0–0 6.6%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veszprém1.1

MTE 19041.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VESZPRÉM · PPG 1.61

MTE 1904 · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Veszprém (H) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

MTE 1904 (A) 44.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Veszprém face MTE 1904 in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veszprém a 31% chance, the draw 25% and MTE 1904 45%, so MTE 1904 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Veszprém and 1.6 for MTE 1904 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veszprém are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.70 for MTE 1904.

Veszprém vs MTE 1904 Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Match Preview & Prediction

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