Today / Hungary - NB III - Northwest / Dorogi FC vs Veszprém

Dorogi FC vs Veszprém Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Dorogi FC logo
Dorogi FC
PPG 2.08 · HOME
6 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Veszprém logo
Veszprém
PPG 1.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.6%0-23.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.4%1-19.4%1-26.0%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.1%3-16.6%3-24.2%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-15.4%4+-23.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.9%
Draw 24.1%
Away win 24.1%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 37.8%
BTTS 59.9%
Home O1.5 58.5%
Away O1.5 35.7%

League track record

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%
O2.5 100%
BTTS 33%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 6-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.9%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 7.5%
#4 3–1 6.6%
#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dorogi FC2.0
Veszprém1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DOROGI FC · PPG 2.08

VESZPRÉM · PPG 1.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dorogi FC (H) 51.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Veszprém (A) 24.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dorogi FC face Veszprém in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dorogi FC a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Veszprém 24%, so Dorogi FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Dorogi FC and 1.3 for Veszprém (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dorogi FC are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.76 for Veszprém. This match finished 6-0.

PredictVantage

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