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Pápai Perutz vs Veszprém Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 15:30

Pápai Perutz logo
Pápai Perutz
PPG 1.30 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Veszprém logo
Veszprém
PPG 1.41 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.2%0-23.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.4%1-110.0%1-26.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.0%2-19.5%2-26.4%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.5%3-16.0%3-24.0%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.4%4+-23.0%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.0%
Draw 23.3%
Away win 26.6%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 38.1%
BTTS 61.6%
Home O1.5 54.6%
Away O1.5 42.6%

League track record

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%
O2.5 100%
BTTS 33%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%
#2 2–1 9.5%
#3 2–0 7.0%
#4 1–2 6.7%
#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pápai Perutz1.9
Veszprém1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PÁPAI PERUTZ · PPG 1.30

VESZPRÉM · PPG 1.41

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Pápai Perutz (H) 50.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Veszprém (A) 26.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pápai Perutz face Veszprém in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pápai Perutz a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Veszprém 27%, so Pápai Perutz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Pápai Perutz and 1.3 for Veszprém (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pápai Perutz are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.41 for Veszprém.

PredictVantage

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