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Bicskei vs SC Sopron Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Bicskei

PPG 1.92 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

SC Sopron

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 53.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.9%0-22.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.4%1-19.8%1-25.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.6%3-16.6%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-15.2%4+-23.0%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 47.6% 2.10 +10.0%

Draw 24.6% 29.4% 3.40 -9.8%

Away win 23.0% 34.7% 2.88 -20.3%

Over 2.5 53.5% 61.7% 1.62 -13.3%

Over 3.5 36.8% 40.7% 2.46 -9.5%

BTTS 54.6% 65.8% 1.52 -17.0%

Home O1.5 55.4% 53.5% 1.87 +3.6%

Away O1.5 35.4% 43.7% 2.29 -18.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bicskei2.0

SC Sopron1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BICSKEI · PPG 1.92

SC SOPRON · PPG 1.03

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bicskei (H) 52.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +10.0%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.8%

SC Sopron (A) 23.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -20.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bicskei face SC Sopron in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bicskei a 52% chance, the draw 25% and SC Sopron 23%, so Bicskei are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bicskei and 1.2 for SC Sopron (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bicskei are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.03 for SC Sopron. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +17.0%. This match finished 2-3.

Bicskei vs SC Sopron Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Match Preview & Prediction

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