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Puskás II vs Tatabánya Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 09:00

Puskás II

PPG 1.61 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Tatabánya

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.5%0-23.5%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.8%1-19.0%1-26.9%1-33.6%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.8%3-15.9%3-24.6%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.6%4+-23.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 26.7% — — —

Over 2.5 60.8% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.8%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puskás II2.0

Tatabánya1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PUSKÁS II · PPG 1.61

TATABÁNYA · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puskás II (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tatabánya (A) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puskás II face Tatabánya in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puskás II a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Tatabánya 27%, so Puskás II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Puskás II and 1.5 for Tatabánya (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puskás II are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.47 for Tatabánya. This match finished 0-4.

Puskás II vs Tatabánya Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Match Preview & Prediction

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