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Puskás II vs Komárom Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 15:30

Puskás II

PPG 1.21 · HOME

UPCOMING

Komárom

PPG 1.96 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-16.3%0-26.4%0-34.2%0-4+3.4%1 1-04.6%1-19.2%1-29.2%1-36.2%1-4+4.9%2 2-03.3%2-16.7%2-26.7%2-34.5%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.6%3-13.2%3-23.2%3-32.2%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.6%4+-21.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 45.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 38.8% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob61.6%

A 46% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 0–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puskás II1.4

Komárom2.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PUSKÁS II · PPG 1.21

KOMÁROM · PPG 1.96

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.55 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Puskás II (H) 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Komárom (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puskás II face Komárom in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puskás II a 31% chance, the draw 23% and Komárom 46%, so Komárom are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Puskás II and 2.0 for Komárom (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puskás II are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.96 for Komárom.

Puskás II vs Komárom Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Match Preview & Prediction

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