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Goulburn Valley Suns vs Werribee City Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Goulburn Valley Suns

PPG 2.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

Werribee City

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.5%0-21.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.4%1-16.7%1-24.2%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.1%2-18.9%2-25.5%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.3%3-17.9%3-24.9%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-19.9%4+-26.2%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.8% — — —

Draw 18.2% — — —

Away win 21.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.3%

H 61% / xG 2.7-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 1–1 6.7%

#4 2–0 7.1%

#5 3–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goulburn Valley Suns2.7

Werribee City1.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GOULBURN VALLEY SUNS · PPG 2.27

WERRIBEE CITY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.41 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Goulburn Valley Suns (H) 60.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Werribee City (A) 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goulburn Valley Suns face Werribee City in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goulburn Valley Suns a 61% chance, the draw 18% and Werribee City 21%, so Goulburn Valley Suns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Goulburn Valley Suns and 1.2 for Werribee City (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goulburn Valley Suns are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.00 for Werribee City.

Goulburn Valley Suns vs Werribee City Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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