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Keilor Park vs Whittlesea United Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 24 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 09:30

Keilor Park

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Whittlesea United

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-111.3%0-26.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.3%1-113.2%1-27.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.6%2-17.7%2-24.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.5%3-13.0%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 39.3% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.6% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.2%

A 39% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 0–1 11.3%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Keilor Park1.2

Whittlesea United1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KEILOR PARK · PPG 2.00

WHITTLESEA UNITED · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.01, combined xG 2.34 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Keilor Park (H) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Whittlesea United (A) 39.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Keilor Park face Whittlesea United in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Keilor Park a 34% chance, the draw 27% and Whittlesea United 39%, so Whittlesea United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Keilor Park and 1.2 for Whittlesea United (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Keilor Park are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.08 for Whittlesea United.

Keilor Park vs Whittlesea United Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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