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Bayside Argonauts vs Box Hill Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 09:30

Bayside Argonauts

PPG 1.82 · HOME

UPCOMING

Box Hill

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.3%0-24.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.1%1-111.6%1-27.4%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.2%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.8%3-14.9%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 28.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 47.5% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 5.7%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayside Argonauts1.6

Box Hill1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYSIDE ARGONAUTS · PPG 1.82

BOX HILL · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bayside Argonauts (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Box Hill (A) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayside Argonauts face Box Hill in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayside Argonauts a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Box Hill 29%, so Bayside Argonauts are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bayside Argonauts and 1.3 for Box Hill (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayside Argonauts are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.60 for Box Hill.

Bayside Argonauts vs Box Hill Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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