Today / Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 / Keilor Park vs Goulburn Valley Suns

Keilor Park vs Goulburn Valley Suns Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 04:00

Keilor Park

PPG 2.20 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Goulburn Valley Suns

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-19.0%0-25.9%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.5%1-112.3%1-28.0%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.5%2-18.4%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.0%3-13.9%3-22.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 32.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.4% — — —

Away O1.5 39.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 41% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 6.9%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 1–2 8.0%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Keilor Park1.4

Goulburn Valley Suns1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KEILOR PARK · PPG 2.20

GOULBURN VALLEY SUNS · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Keilor Park (H) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Goulburn Valley Suns (A) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Keilor Park face Goulburn Valley Suns in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Keilor Park a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Goulburn Valley Suns 32%, so Keilor Park are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Keilor Park and 1.3 for Goulburn Valley Suns (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Keilor Park are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.91 for Goulburn Valley Suns. This match finished 0-4.

Keilor Park vs Goulburn Valley Suns Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 Predictions