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Nunawading vs Bayside Argonauts Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 24 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 09:30

Nunawading

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bayside Argonauts

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-110.0%0-29.0%0-35.4%0-4+3.6%1 1-06.1%1-110.9%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.3%2-16.0%2-25.4%2-33.2%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.2%3-12.2%3-22.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.3% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 51.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.5%

A 51% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 9.0%

#4 0–1 10.0%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nunawading1.1

Bayside Argonauts1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NUNAWADING · PPG 1.50

BAYSIDE ARGONAUTS · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.70 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Nunawading (H) 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bayside Argonauts (A) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nunawading face Bayside Argonauts in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nunawading a 25% chance, the draw 24% and Bayside Argonauts 51%, so Bayside Argonauts are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Nunawading and 1.8 for Bayside Argonauts (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nunawading are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.91 for Bayside Argonauts.

Nunawading vs Bayside Argonauts Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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