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Galtabacks vs Qviding FIF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 16 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Galtabacks

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Qviding FIF

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.8% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.4%0-24.3%0-32.7%0-4+2.0%1 1-04.3%1-18.2%1-27.9%1-35.0%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.9%2-17.6%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.4%3-14.7%3-24.5%3-32.9%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.3%4+-23.1%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 39.2% 2.55 +13.0%

Draw 21.9% 24.4% 4.10 -6.1%

Away win 33.8% 46.5% 2.15 -27.3%

Over 2.5 66.8% 75.2% 1.33 -11.2%

Over 3.5 44.0% 54.1% 1.85 -18.6%

BTTS 64.3% 76.9% 1.30 -16.4%

Home O1.5 55.4% 57.8% 1.73 -4.2%

Away O1.5 54.7% 62.5% 1.60 -12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob64.3%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Galtabacks1.8

Qviding FIF1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GALTABACKS · PPG 0.86

QVIDING FIF · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Galtabacks (H) 44.3%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +13.0%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -6.1%

Qviding FIF (A) 33.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -27.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Galtabacks face Qviding FIF in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Galtabacks a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Qviding FIF 34%, so Galtabacks are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Galtabacks and 1.9 for Qviding FIF (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Galtabacks are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.43 for Qviding FIF.

Galtabacks vs Qviding FIF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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