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Sutherland Sharks U20 vs Sydney FC U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 09:45

Sutherland Sharks U20

PPG 1.42 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sydney FC U20

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.0%0-23.5%0-32.0%0-4+1.3%1 1-04.8%1-18.2%1-27.1%1-34.1%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.2%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.3%3-15.6%3-24.8%3-32.8%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.5%4+-23.9%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 46.1% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 56.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.3%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sutherland Sharks U202.0

Sydney FC U201.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 46.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SUTHERLAND SHARKS U20 · PPG 1.42

SYDNEY FC U20 · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sutherland Sharks U20 (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sydney FC U20 (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sutherland Sharks U20 face Sydney FC U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sutherland Sharks U20 a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Sydney FC U20 29%, so Sutherland Sharks U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sutherland Sharks U20 and 1.7 for Sydney FC U20 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sutherland Sharks U20 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.54 for Sydney FC U20. This match finished 4-2.

Sutherland Sharks U20 vs Sydney FC U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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