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Burgan vs Al Sulaibikhat Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:45

Burgan

PPG 0.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Sulaibikhat

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.62 for Away, form 0.71 vs 2.33

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-111.1%0-213.0%0-310.1%0-4+10.1%1 1-03.4%1-17.9%1-29.2%1-37.2%1-4+7.2%2 2-01.2%2-12.8%2-23.3%2-32.5%2-4+2.6%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 66.3% — — —

Over 2.5 57.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.4% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 65.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 10%

Score Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob49.2%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.3 / O2.5 58% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.0%

#2 0–3 10.1%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 1–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Burgan0.7

Al Sulaibikhat2.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BURGAN · PPG 0.71

AL SULAIBIKHAT · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.62 for Away, form 0.71 vs 2.33

Win probability 1X2

Burgan (H) 13.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Sulaibikhat (A) 66.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Burgan face Al Sulaibikhat in Kuwait - Division 1 on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Burgan a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Al Sulaibikhat 66%, so Al Sulaibikhat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Burgan and 2.3 for Al Sulaibikhat (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Burgan are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 2.33 for Al Sulaibikhat.

Burgan vs Al Sulaibikhat Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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