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Yarmouk vs Khaitan Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:45

Yarmouk

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Khaitan

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-110.2%0-24.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.8%1-113.0%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.4%2-18.3%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.0%3-13.5%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 61.7% 1.62 -25.0%

Draw 27.6% 27.8% 3.60 -0.4%

Away win 26.1% 22.2% 4.50 +10.5%

Over 2.5 45.9% 54.1% 1.85 -15.1%

Over 3.5 26.2% 34.5% 2.90 -14.4%

BTTS 49.6% 53.2% 1.88 -6.8%

Home O1.5 36.6% 60.2% 1.66 -39.2%

Away O1.5 23.5% 27.0% 3.70 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 10%

Score Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.6%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 11.7%

#3 1–0 14.8%

#4 2–0 9.4%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yarmouk1.3

Khaitan0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

YARMOUK · PPG 1.67

KHAITAN · PPG 1.71

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.39, combined xG 2.15 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yarmouk (H) 46.3%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -25.0%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -0.4%

Khaitan (A) 26.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yarmouk face Khaitan in Kuwait - Division 1 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yarmouk a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Khaitan 26%, so Yarmouk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Yarmouk and 0.9 for Khaitan (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yarmouk are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.71 for Khaitan.

Yarmouk vs Khaitan Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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