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Portugal - Primeira Liga
Regular Season - 30
Estádio José Alvalade· Lisbon
Sunday, April 19, 2026
17:00
Sporting CP
PPG 2.62
1-2
MISS
Benfica
PPG 2.43
Home· +10.7%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
52.2%
Odds: 2.12
EV: +10.7%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -7.6%
Away
21.4%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -31.5%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
41.1%
Odds: 1.73
-28.9%
Over 3.5
20.6%
Odds: 2.80
-42.3%
BTTS
44.1%
Odds: 1.57
-30.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP
1.48
Benfica
0.84
Model Suggestion
Home
+10.7%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.62), Away EXCELLENT (2.43)