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Utsikten vs Hässleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:00

Utsikten

PPG 0.14 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Hässleholms IF

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.9%0-29.1%0-38.0%0-4+9.9%1 1-02.6%1-17.0%1-29.2%1-38.0%1-4+10.0%2 2-01.3%2-13.5%2-24.6%2-34.1%2-4+5.0%3 3-00.5%3-11.2%3-21.6%3-31.4%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.1% 22.2% 4.50 -21.9%

Draw 20.3% 26.3% 3.80 -13.7%

Away win 65.6% 61.0% 1.64 +7.6%

Over 2.5 65.4% 64.5% 1.55 +1.4%

Over 3.5 43.8% 42.6% 2.35 +2.9%

BTTS 61.0% 65.4% 1.53 -6.7%

Home O1.5 32.1% 36.4% 2.75 -11.7%

Away O1.5 65.0% 64.5% 1.55 +0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -8.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob61.0%

A 66% / xG 1.0-2.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.2%

#2 0–2✓ 9.1%

#3 1–3 8.0%

#4 1–1 7.0%

#5 0–3 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Utsikten1.0

Hässleholms IF2.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UTSIKTEN · PPG 0.14

HÄSSLEHOLMS IF · PPG 1.57

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.62 for Away, form 0.14 vs 1.57

Win probability 1X2

Utsikten (H) 14.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -21.9%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -13.7%

Hässleholms IF (A) 65.6%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV +7.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Utsikten face Hässleholms IF in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Utsikten a 14% chance, the draw 20% and Hässleholms IF 66%, so Hässleholms IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Utsikten and 2.6 for Hässleholms IF (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Utsikten are averaging 0.14 points per game versus 1.57 for Hässleholms IF. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +17.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Utsikten vs Hässleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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