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Trollhättan vs Laholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Trollhättan

PPG 0.62 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Laholm

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.8%0-24.2%0-32.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.1%1-110.3%1-27.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-19.1%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.7%3-15.4%3-23.9%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.5%4+-22.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 57.8% 1.73 -19.0%

Draw 23.3% 25.3% 3.95 -4.8%

Away win 29.9% 27.0% 3.70 +6.4%

Over 2.5 63.6% 69.0% 1.45 -7.8%

Over 3.5 41.0% 46.5% 2.15 -11.8%

BTTS 63.7% 69.4% 1.44 -8.3%

Home O1.5 49.2% 65.4% 1.53 -24.7%

Away O1.5 43.7% 42.6% 2.35 +2.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -8.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.7%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trollhättan1.8

Laholm1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TROLLHÄTTAN · PPG 0.62

LAHOLM · PPG 0.75

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Trollhättan (H) 46.8%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -19.0%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -4.8%

Laholm (A) 29.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +6.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Trollhättan face Laholm in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trollhättan a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Laholm 30%, so Trollhättan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Trollhättan and 1.4 for Laholm (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trollhättan are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 0.75 for Laholm. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Trollhättan vs Laholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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