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Pogon Grodzisk vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga logo Poland flag Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 29 Stadion MZOS Znicz Sunday, April 19, 2026 15:00
Pogon Grodzisk logo Pogon Grodzisk PPG 1.93
0-2 MISS
Pogon Siedlce logo Pogon Siedlce PPG 1.00
Home· +1.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pogon Grodzisk face Pogon Siedlce in Poland - I Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pogon Grodzisk a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Pogon Siedlce 23%, so Pogon Grodzisk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Pogon Grodzisk and 1.0 for Pogon Siedlce (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pogon Grodzisk are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.00 for Pogon Siedlce. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.0%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +1.4%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -19.1%
Away 23.1%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -21.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: —
BTTS 50.0% Odds: 1.65 -17.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Pogon Grodzisk
1.61
Pogon Siedlce
0.98

Model Suggestion

Home +1.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -2.1%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=52.0%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org