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Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Podhale Nowy Targ

PPG 2.15 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

Hutnik Kraków

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-110.9%0-25.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.3%1-113.2%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.7%2-18.0%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 52.4% 1.91 -11.4%

Draw 27.9% 32.3% 3.10 -8.1%

Away win 25.7% 28.6% 3.50 -6.0%

Over 2.5 44.0% 52.6% 1.90 -16.4%

Over 3.5 22.0% 30.8% 3.25 -17.1%

BTTS 48.4% 58.8% 1.70 -17.7%

Home O1.5 34.0% 52.4% 1.91 -35.1%

Away O1.5 26.3% 30.8% 3.25 -8.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podhale Nowy Targ1.2

Hutnik Kraków0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PODHALE NOWY TARG · PPG 2.15

HUTNIK KRAKÓW · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.29, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Podhale Nowy Targ (H) 46.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -11.4%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.1%

Hutnik Kraków (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Podhale Nowy Targ face Hutnik Kraków in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podhale Nowy Targ a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Hutnik Kraków 26%, so Podhale Nowy Targ are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 0.9 for Hutnik Kraków (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podhale Nowy Targ are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.13 for Hutnik Kraków. This match finished 2-5.

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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