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Al Sahel vs Khaitan Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Regular Season - 15 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 17:45

Al Sahel

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Khaitan

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-112.4%0-25.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.6%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.9%2-17.3%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.9%3-12.7%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 33.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.4% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 0%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.4%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sahel1.1

Khaitan0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SAHEL · PPG 1.75

KHAITAN · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.17, combined xG 2.01 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Sahel (H) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Khaitan (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sahel face Khaitan in Kuwait - Division 1 on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sahel a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Khaitan 34%, so Al Sahel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Sahel and 0.9 for Khaitan (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sahel are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.83 for Khaitan.

Al Sahel vs Khaitan Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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