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Shamiya vs Al Jazira Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:45

Shamiya

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Jazira

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -3.45 for Away, form 0.50 vs 2.14

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-12.7%0-25.7%0-38.1%0-4+27.4%1 1-00.5%1-12.2%1-24.6%1-36.6%1-4+22.1%2 2-00.2%2-10.9%2-21.9%2-32.7%2-4+8.9%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.5%3-30.7%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.5% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 70.8% — — —

Over 2.5 74.4% — — —

Over 3.5 54.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 86.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 10%

Score Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)4.3 BTTS prob54.6%

A 71% / xG 0.8-4.3 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 8.6%

#2 0–3 8.1%

#3 0–5 7.4%

#4 1–4 7.0%

#5 1–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shamiya0.8

Al Jazira4.3

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.4% · O3.5 PROB 54.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAMIYA · PPG 0.50

AL JAZIRA · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -3.45 for Away, form 0.50 vs 2.14

Win probability 1X2

Shamiya (H) 12.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Jazira (A) 70.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shamiya face Al Jazira in Kuwait - Division 1 on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shamiya a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Al Jazira 71%, so Al Jazira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Shamiya and 4.3 for Al Jazira (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shamiya are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 2.14 for Al Jazira.

Shamiya vs Al Jazira Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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