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Al Jazira vs Sporty Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:45

Al Jazira

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sporty

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-14.6%0-21.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.9%1-19.4%1-23.7%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.2%2-19.7%2-23.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.4%3-16.7%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-15.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 60.0% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 13%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 56% / xG 2.1-0.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.2%

#2 1–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 3–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jazira2.1

Sporty0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAZIRA · PPG 1.62

SPORTY · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Jazira (H) 56.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sporty (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jazira face Sporty in Kuwait - Division 1 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jazira a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Sporty 22%, so Al Jazira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Al Jazira and 0.8 for Sporty (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jazira are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.38 for Sporty.

Al Jazira vs Sporty Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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