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Sporty vs Al Sahel Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:45

Sporty

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Sahel

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.98 for Away, form 0.00 vs 3.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-115.6%0-218.3%0-314.3%0-4+14.6%1 1-02.4%1-15.7%1-26.7%1-35.2%1-4+5.3%2 2-00.4%2-11.0%2-21.2%2-30.9%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.1%3-10.1%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.4% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 70.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 8.0% — — —

Away O1.5 65.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 10%

Score Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob45.5%

A 71% / xG 0.4-2.3 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 18.3%

#2 0–1 15.6%

#3 0–3 14.3%

#4 0–4 8.4%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporty0.4

Al Sahel2.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTY · PPG 0.00

AL SAHEL · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.98 for Away, form 0.00 vs 3.00

Win probability 1X2

Sporty (H) 12.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Sahel (A) 70.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporty face Al Sahel in Kuwait - Division 1 on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporty a 12% chance, the draw 17% and Al Sahel 71%, so Al Sahel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Sporty and 2.3 for Al Sahel (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporty are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Al Sahel.

Sporty vs Al Sahel Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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