Today / Bolivia - Primera División / ABB vs Guabirá

ABB vs Guabirá Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 14 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 21:15

ABB

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guabirá

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.71 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.3%0-21.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.1%1-14.4%1-23.1%1-31.5%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.0%2-17.1%2-25.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.4%3-17.6%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-114.0%4+-29.9%4+-34.7%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.9% 57.8% 1.73 +10.5%

Draw 15.9% 24.4% 4.10 -20.9%

Away win 20.1% 26.3% 3.80 -14.2%

Over 2.5 73.0% 75.2% 1.33 -2.9%

Over 3.5 52.7% 54.6% 1.83 -3.6%

BTTS 64.3% 73.5% 1.36 -12.6%

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 0.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob64.3%

H 64% / xG 3.2-1.4 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 7.1%

#3 4–1 6.2%

#4 3–2 5.4%

#5 3–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ABB3.2

Guabirá1.4

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ABB · PPG 2.00

GUABIRÁ · PPG 0.71

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.71 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

ABB (H) 63.9%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV +10.5%

Draw 15.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -20.9%

Guabirá (A) 20.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

ABB face Guabirá in Bolivia - Primera División on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ABB a 64% chance, the draw 16% and Guabirá 20%, so ABB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for ABB and 1.4 for Guabirá (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ABB are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.71 for Guabirá. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +19.6%.

ABB vs Guabirá Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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