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Real Potosí vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura - 12 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 19:00

Real Potosí

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 1.83 vs 0.40 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-13.2%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.5%1-17.4%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.4%2-18.4%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.7%3-16.4%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-16.2%4+-21.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.8% — — —

Draw 18.6% — — —

Away win 9.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.7%

H 72% / xG 2.3-0.5 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.4%

#2 1–0 13.5%

#3 3–0 11.7%

#4 1–1 7.4%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Potosí2.3

Gualberto Villarroel SJ0.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL POTOSÍ · PPG 1.83

GUALBERTO VILLARROEL SJ · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 1.83 vs 0.40 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Real Potosí (H) 71.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gualberto Villarroel SJ (A) 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Potosí face Gualberto Villarroel SJ in Bolivia - Primera División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Potosí a 72% chance, the draw 19% and Gualberto Villarroel SJ 10%, so Real Potosí are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Real Potosí and 0.5 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Potosí are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.40 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Real Potosí vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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