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Växjö W vs Rosengård W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Växjö W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rosengård W

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-15.9%0-23.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.9%1-110.7%1-26.4%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.7%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.9%3-15.9%3-23.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.0%4+-22.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.0% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 25.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 50.7% — — —

Away O1.5 35.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.9%

H 50% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 0–0 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Växjö W1.8

Rosengård W1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VÄXJÖ W · PPG 1.67

ROSENGÅRD W · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Växjö W (H) 50.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rosengård W (A) 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Växjö W face Rosengård W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Växjö W a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Rosengård W 26%, so Växjö W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Växjö W and 1.2 for Rosengård W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Växjö W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.83 for Rosengård W.

Växjö W vs Rosengård W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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