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Vlašim vs Viktoria Žižkov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 16:00

Vlašim

PPG 1.48 · HOME

UPCOMING

Viktoria Žižkov

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.7% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-16.6%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.8%1-111.3%1-25.4%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.6%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% 54.1% 1.85 -2.1%

Draw 24.3% 28.2% 3.55 -8.2%

Away win 22.8% 28.2% 3.55 -11.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 60.6% 1.65 -11.7%

Over 3.5 32.3% 38.2% 2.62 -15.4%

BTTS 53.7% 64.5% 1.55 -16.8%

Home O1.5 49.2% 57.8% 1.73 -14.9%

Away O1.5 27.7% 38.5% 2.60 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -1.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.7%

H 53% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vlašim1.7

Viktoria Žižkov1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VLAŠIM · PPG 1.48

VIKTORIA ŽIŽKOV · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vlašim (H) 52.9%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -2.1%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -8.2%

Viktoria Žižkov (A) 22.8%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vlašim face Viktoria Žižkov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vlašim a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Viktoria Žižkov 23%, so Vlašim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vlašim and 1.0 for Viktoria Žižkov (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vlašim are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 0.88 for Viktoria Žižkov.

Vlašim vs Viktoria Žižkov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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