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Uberabinha U20 vs Minas Boca U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Losers Stage - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Uberabinha U20

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Minas Boca U20

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-17.9%0-23.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.9%1-112.1%1-25.2%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.2%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.5%3-14.7%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.3% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 24.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 22.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 50% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 0–0 9.1%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uberabinha U201.5

Minas Boca U200.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

UBERABINHA U20 · PPG 0.00

MINAS BOCA U20 · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Uberabinha U20 (H) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Minas Boca U20 (A) 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uberabinha U20 face Minas Boca U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uberabinha U20 a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Minas Boca U20 24%, so Uberabinha U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Uberabinha U20 and 0.9 for Minas Boca U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uberabinha U20 are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.20 for Minas Boca U20.

Uberabinha U20 vs Minas Boca U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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