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Werribee City vs Nunawading Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 05:00

Werribee City

PPG 0.91 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nunawading

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-17.1%0-24.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.1%1-111.6%1-26.7%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.5%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.5%3-15.2%3-23.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.0%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 26.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 2–0 8.3%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Werribee City1.6

Nunawading1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WERRIBEE CITY · PPG 0.91

NUNAWADING · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Werribee City (H) 48.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nunawading (A) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Werribee City face Nunawading in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Werribee City a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Nunawading 27%, so Werribee City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Werribee City and 1.1 for Nunawading (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Werribee City are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 0.78 for Nunawading.

Werribee City vs Nunawading Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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