Today / Argentina - Reserve League / Talleres Córdoba Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.

Talleres Córdoba Res. vs San Lorenzo Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 20:00

Talleres Córdoba Res.

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

San Lorenzo Res.

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.45, combined xG 2.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-18.9%0-24.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.0%1-112.6%1-26.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.0%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.2%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.0%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 26.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 28.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.1%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 0–0 9.2%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Córdoba Res.1.4

San Lorenzo Res.1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 1.10

SAN LORENZO RES. · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.45, combined xG 2.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Córdoba Res. (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

San Lorenzo Res. (A) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Córdoba Res. face San Lorenzo Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Córdoba Res. a 46% chance, the draw 27% and San Lorenzo Res. 27%, so Talleres Córdoba Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 1.0 for San Lorenzo Res. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Córdoba Res. are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.70 for San Lorenzo Res..

Talleres Córdoba Res. vs San Lorenzo Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Reserve League Predictions