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Platense Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00

Platense Res.

PPG 1.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Estudiantes La Plata Res

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-114.9%0-27.0%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.2%1-113.4%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.4%2-16.1%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.9%3-11.8%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% — — —

Draw 29.1% — — —

Away win 38.1% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

D 29% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.7%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 14.9%

#4 1–0 14.2%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Platense Res.0.9

Estudiantes La Plata Res0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PLATENSE RES. · PPG 1.70

ESTUDIANTES LA PLATA RES · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.04, combined xG 1.85 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Platense Res. (H) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Estudiantes La Plata Res (A) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Platense Res. face Estudiantes La Plata Res in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Platense Res. a 33% chance, the draw 29% and Estudiantes La Plata Res 38%, so Estudiantes La Plata Res are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Platense Res. and 0.9 for Estudiantes La Plata Res (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Platense Res. are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.33 for Estudiantes La Plata Res.

Platense Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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