Skalica vs Trencin Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Slovakia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 6 Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:30

Skalica PPG 1.38

4-1 MISS

Trencin PPG 1.46

Draw· +5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Skalica face Trencin in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skalica a 38% chance, the draw 31% and Trencin 32%, so Skalica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Skalica and 0.9 for Trencin (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skalica are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.46 for Trencin. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.9%

Odds: 2.12 EV: -19.7%

Draw 30.6%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +5.6%

Away 31.5%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -3.9%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.9% Odds: 1.91 -37.2%

Over 3.5 14.7% Odds: 3.35 -50.7%

BTTS 40.3% Odds: 1.73 -30.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Skalica

1.07

Trencin

0.95

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.46)