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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Central Córdoba SdE Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00

Atl. Rafaela 2

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-15.7%0-23.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.6%1-110.5%1-26.4%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.7%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.9%3-15.9%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.2%4+-22.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 27.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.3% — — —

Over 3.5 38.2% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.8%

H 50% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 1–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atl. Rafaela 21.8

Central Córdoba SdE Res.1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 38.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ATL. RAFAELA 2 · PPG 1.10

CENTRAL CÓRDOBA SDE RES. · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atl. Rafaela 2 (H) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Córdoba SdE Res. (A) 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atl. Rafaela 2 face Central Córdoba SdE Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atl. Rafaela 2 a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Central Córdoba SdE Res. 27%, so Atl. Rafaela 2 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Atl. Rafaela 2 and 1.2 for Central Córdoba SdE Res. (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atl. Rafaela 2 are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 0.50 for Central Córdoba SdE Res..

Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Central Córdoba SdE Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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