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Portuguesa U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00

Portuguesa U20

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventus U20

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.5%0-24.7%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.4%1-110.8%1-27.8%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.4%3-14.9%3-23.6%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.9%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.6% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 34.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 47.8% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.8%

H 41% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portuguesa U201.7

Juventus U201.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTUGUESA U20 · PPG 1.25

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Portuguesa U20 (H) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventus U20 (A) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Portuguesa U20 face Juventus U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portuguesa U20 a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Juventus U20 35%, so Portuguesa U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Portuguesa U20 and 1.4 for Juventus U20 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portuguesa U20 are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Juventus U20.

Portuguesa U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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