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Mauá U20 vs Palmeiras U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:00

Mauá U20

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Palmeiras U20

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.72 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-117.8%0-212.3%0-35.7%0-4+2.7%1 1-08.5%1-111.9%1-28.2%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-02.8%2-14.0%2-22.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.6%3-10.9%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 50.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.7%

A 50% / xG 0.7-1.4 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.8%

#2 0–0 12.8%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 0–2 12.3%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mauá U200.7

Palmeiras U201.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MAUÁ U20 · PPG 1.25

PALMEIRAS U20 · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.72 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Mauá U20 (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Palmeiras U20 (A) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mauá U20 face Palmeiras U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mauá U20 a 23% chance, the draw 26% and Palmeiras U20 51%, so Palmeiras U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Mauá U20 and 1.4 for Palmeiras U20 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mauá U20 are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.33 for Palmeiras U20.

Mauá U20 vs Palmeiras U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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