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União Suzano U20 vs Corinthians U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

União Suzano U20

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Corinthians U20

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -2.23 for Away, form 0.33 vs 2.33

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-114.1%0-218.0%0-315.4%0-4+18.3%1 1-01.9%1-14.8%1-26.1%1-35.2%1-4+6.2%2 2-00.3%2-10.8%2-21.0%2-30.9%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 17.2% — — —

Away win 70.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 2.0% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob44.5%

A 70% / xG 0.3-2.6 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 18.0%

#2 0–3 15.4%

#3 0–1 14.1%

#4 0–4 9.9%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

União Suzano U200.3

Corinthians U202.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÃO SUZANO U20 · PPG 0.33

CORINTHIANS U20 · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.23 for Away, form 0.33 vs 2.33

Win probability 1X2

União Suzano U20 (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Corinthians U20 (A) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

União Suzano U20 face Corinthians U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives União Suzano U20 a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Corinthians U20 70%, so Corinthians U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for União Suzano U20 and 2.6 for Corinthians U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, União Suzano U20 are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 2.33 for Corinthians U20.

União Suzano U20 vs Corinthians U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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