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Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00

Gremio Prudente U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Capivariano U20

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-19.6%0-25.8%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.4%1-112.7%1-27.7%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.9%2-18.4%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.0%3-13.7%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 32.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.4% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gremio Prudente U201.3

Capivariano U201.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GREMIO PRUDENTE U20 · PPG 1.00

CAPIVARIANO U20 · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gremio Prudente U20 (H) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Capivariano U20 (A) 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gremio Prudente U20 face Capivariano U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gremio Prudente U20 a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Capivariano U20 32%, so Gremio Prudente U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gremio Prudente U20 and 1.2 for Capivariano U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gremio Prudente U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Capivariano U20.

Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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