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Al Sulaibikhat vs Shamiya Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Regular Season - 15 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 17:45

Al Sulaibikhat

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shamiya

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.77 for Home, form 1.83 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.1%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.5%1-16.0%1-23.3%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.9%2-18.6%2-24.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.5%3-18.2%3-24.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-010.8%4+-111.8%4+-26.4%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.4% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 20.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 76.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 0%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.1%

H 62% / xG 2.9-1.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 3–0 7.5%

#5 1–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sulaibikhat2.9

Shamiya1.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SULAIBIKHAT · PPG 1.83

SHAMIYA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.77 for Home, form 1.83 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Al Sulaibikhat (H) 62.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shamiya (A) 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sulaibikhat face Shamiya in Kuwait - Division 1 on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sulaibikhat a 62% chance, the draw 17% and Shamiya 21%, so Al Sulaibikhat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Al Sulaibikhat and 1.1 for Shamiya (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sulaibikhat are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.00 for Shamiya.

Al Sulaibikhat vs Shamiya Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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