Umraniyespor vs Van Spor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 36 Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu· Istanbul Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Umraniyespor PPG 1.65

1-2 MISS

Van Spor PPG 1.06

Away· -6.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Umraniyespor face Van Spor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Umraniyespor a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Van Spor 34%, so Umraniyespor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Umraniyespor and 1.2 for Van Spor (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Umraniyespor are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.06 for Van Spor. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.6%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -10.9%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -8.5%

Away 33.5%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -6.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.7% Odds: 1.77 -19.1%

Over 3.5 24.3% Odds: 2.95 -28.3%

BTTS 50.9% Odds: 1.60 -18.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Umraniyespor

1.32

Van Spor

1.19

Model SuggestionBTTS -18.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.65) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)