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Igdir vs Pendikspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Matchday 36 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Igdir

PPG 1.41 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Pendikspor

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-112.0%0-28.7%0-34.2%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.6%1-112.5%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.5%2-16.5%2-24.7%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.6%3-12.3%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% 48.8% 2.05 -44.2%

Draw 26.4% 29.4% 3.40 -10.2%

Away win 46.4% 32.3% 3.10 +43.8%

Over 2.5 45.4% 55.6% 1.80 -18.3%

Over 3.5 24.0% 33.3% 3.00 -28.0%

BTTS 49.5% 60.6% 1.65 -18.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -50.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob49.5%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.4 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.5%

#2 0–1 12.0%

#3 1–2 9.1%

#4 0–2 8.7%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Igdir1.0

Pendikspor1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 24.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IGDIR · PPG 1.41

PENDIKSPOR · PPG 1.47

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

50%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.41), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Igdir (H) 27.2%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -44.2%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.2%

Pendikspor (A) 46.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +43.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Igdir face Pendikspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Igdir a 27% chance, the draw 26% and Pendikspor 46%, so Pendikspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Igdir and 1.4 for Pendikspor (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Igdir are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.47 for Pendikspor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +43.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Igdir vs Pendikspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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