Erokspor vs Keciorengucu Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 36 Esenler Stadium· Istanbul Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Erokspor PPG 1.94

1-0 HIT CS5

Keciorengucu PPG 1.35

Over3.5· +1.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Erokspor face Keciorengucu in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Erokspor a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Keciorengucu 20%, so Erokspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Erokspor and 1.2 for Keciorengucu (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Erokspor are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.35 for Keciorengucu. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.9%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.3%

Odds: 1.57 EV: -3.8%

Draw 19.3%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -20.9%

Away 19.5%

Odds: 4.60 EV: -10.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.8% Odds: 1.45 -0.2%

Over 3.5 47.4% Odds: 2.15 +1.9%

BTTS 64.0% Odds: 1.50 -4.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Erokspor

2.31

Keciorengucu

1.24

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)