Bodrumspor vs Erzurum BB Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 36 Grey Beton Bodrum Stadyumu· Bodrum Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Bodrumspor PPG 2.12

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Erzurum BB PPG 2.12

Over3.5· +1.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bodrumspor face Erzurum BB in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bodrumspor a 30% chance, the draw 25% and Erzurum BB 45%, so Erzurum BB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bodrumspor and 1.5 for Erzurum BB (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bodrumspor are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 2.12 for Erzurum BB. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.8%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -4.6%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -16.8%

Away 44.9%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -8.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: 1.95 +0.6%

Over 3.5 29.4% Odds: 3.45 +1.4%

BTTS 54.9% Odds: 1.73 -5.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bodrumspor

1.20

Erzurum BB

1.53

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+1.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.12), Away EXCELLENT (2.12)