Bandirmaspor vs Amed SK Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 36 Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadi· Balıkesir Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Bandirmaspor PPG 1.88

2-0 MISS

Amed SK PPG 1.53

Home· +25.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bandirmaspor face Amed SK in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bandirmaspor a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Amed SK 42%, so Amed SK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bandirmaspor and 1.4 for Amed SK (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bandirmaspor are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.53 for Amed SK. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.3%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +25.2%

Draw 26.5%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -8.6%

Away 42.1%

Odds: 1.77 EV: -25.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.8% Odds: 1.85 -13.4%

Over 3.5 25.2% Odds: 3.20 -19.4%

BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.73 -10.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bandirmaspor

1.16

Amed SK

1.39

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+25.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.53)