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Bandirmaspor vs Amed SK Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Regular Season - 36 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Bandirmaspor

PPG 1.88 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Amed SK

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-110.9%0-27.5%0-33.5%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.1%1-112.6%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.3%2-17.3%2-25.1%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.0%3-12.8%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% 25.0% 4.00 +25.2%

Draw 26.5% 29.0% 3.45 -8.6%

Away win 42.1% 56.5% 1.77 -25.5%

Over 2.5 46.8% 54.1% 1.85 -13.4%

Over 3.5 25.2% 31.3% 3.20 -19.4%

BTTS 51.5% 57.8% 1.73 -10.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -9.6%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob51.5%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 10.9%

#3 1–0 9.1%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bandirmaspor1.2

Amed SK1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BANDIRMASPOR · PPG 1.88

AMED SK · PPG 1.53

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Bandirmaspor (H) 31.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +25.2%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -8.6%

Amed SK (A) 42.1%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -25.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bandirmaspor face Amed SK in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bandirmaspor a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Amed SK 42%, so Amed SK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bandirmaspor and 1.4 for Amed SK (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bandirmaspor are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.53 for Amed SK. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Bandirmaspor vs Amed SK Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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