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Veraguas vs Independiente de La Chorrera Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura - 1 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 23:15

Veraguas

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Independiente de La Chorrera

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-110.6%0-25.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.9%1-113.2%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.0%2-18.2%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.3%3-13.4%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 26.7% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.4% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 37.3% — — —

Away O1.5 31.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.4%

#3 1–0 12.9%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veraguas1.2

Independiente de La Chorrera1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VERAGUAS · PPG 1.44

INDEPENDIENTE DE LA CHORRERA · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 2.26 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Veraguas (H) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Independiente de La Chorrera (A) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Veraguas face Independiente de La Chorrera in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veraguas a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Independiente de La Chorrera 27%, so Veraguas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Veraguas and 1.0 for Independiente de La Chorrera (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veraguas are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.11 for Independiente de La Chorrera.

Veraguas vs Independiente de La Chorrera Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

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