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Al Sulaibikhat vs Al Jazira Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 17:45

Al Sulaibikhat

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Jazira

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-17.1%0-25.8%0-33.2%0-4+1.9%1 1-06.5%1-110.6%1-28.7%1-34.8%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.0%2-26.6%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.4%3-14.0%3-23.3%3-31.8%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.1%4+-21.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 39.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 62.7% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.7%

A 39% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sulaibikhat1.5

Al Jazira1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SULAIBIKHAT · PPG 2.00

AL JAZIRA · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Sulaibikhat (H) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Jazira (A) 39.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sulaibikhat face Al Jazira in Kuwait - Division 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sulaibikhat a 37% chance, the draw 24% and Al Jazira 39%, so Al Jazira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Sulaibikhat and 1.6 for Al Jazira (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sulaibikhat are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.20 for Al Jazira.

Al Sulaibikhat vs Al Jazira Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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