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Sporty vs Yarmouk Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Regular Season - 15 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 17:45

Sporty

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yarmouk

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -2.36 for Away, form 0.00 vs 2.38

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-111.0%0-215.4%0-314.4%0-4+19.9%1 1-01.7%1-14.8%1-26.7%1-36.3%1-4+8.6%2 2-00.4%2-11.0%2-21.5%2-31.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 17.2% — — —

Away win 70.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.8% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 0%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob45.4%

A 70% / xG 0.4-2.8 / O2.5 62% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 15.4%

#2 0–3 14.4%

#3 0–1 11.0%

#4 0–4 10.1%

#5 1–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporty0.4

Yarmouk2.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTY · PPG 0.00

YARMOUK · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.36 for Away, form 0.00 vs 2.38

Win probability 1X2

Sporty (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yarmouk (A) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporty face Yarmouk in Kuwait - Division 1 on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporty a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Yarmouk 70%, so Yarmouk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Sporty and 2.8 for Yarmouk (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporty are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 2.38 for Yarmouk.

Sporty vs Yarmouk Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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